Latest observations

Oct. 26 trends: Benefit threats and big-name endorsements

LAST 24 HOURS IN A NUTSHELL: Top House hashtags: #maga #earnedbenefits #flipthehouse Top Senate hashtags: #letsflymi #teamjohnjames #keeptexasred   Interesting climbers: #notbetterforpa01: This from the strong Democratic activist campaign in PA-01, noting that GOP candidate Brian Fitzpatrick had to remove campaign signs containing fake endorsements, among other issues. #voteblue vs. #votered: These two are back Read more about Oct. 26 trends: Benefit threats and big-name endorsements[…]

Oct. 18 trends: Disappearing tweets and big-pharma dollars

LAST 24 HOURS IN A NUTSHELL: Top House hashtags: #florida #miami #exclusive Top Senate hashtags: #texasdebate #choosecruz #keeptexasred Interesting climbers: #mepolitics (6th place House): A focus on ME-02, where Democrat Jared Golden has been endorsed by Joe Biden. However, independent candidate Tiffany Bond is also seeing considerable Twitter support. #ComradeRohrabacher (10th place House): Largely originated Read more about Oct. 18 trends: Disappearing tweets and big-pharma dollars[…]

Oct. 15 trends: Climate denial, debates and endorsements

LAST 24 HOURS IN A NUTSHELL: Top House hashtags: #climatechange #flipthe48th #ksleg Top Senate hashtags: #letsflymi #teamjohnjames #misendebate Interesting climbers #iowapolitics (8th place House): Dominated by retweets of the Des Moines Register’s endorsements, which (unlike in previous years) follow a clear Democratic slate for the House. In the races we’re following, the paper praised Democrat Read more about Oct. 15 trends: Climate denial, debates and endorsements[…]

Oct. 11 trends: Name-calling and disenfranchisement

LAST 24 HOURS IN A NUTSHELL: Top House hashtags: #redtoblue #mtpol #2ndamendment Top Senate hashtags: #choosecruz #keeptexasred #letsflymi Interesting climbers #extremekathleenwilliams (5th place House): Political scion and highly creative political analyst Donald Trump Jr. is calling for reelection of GOP MT-AL incumbent Greg Gianforte, comparing Democratic challenger Kathleen Williams to noted extremists Barack Obama and Nancy Pelosi. Read more about Oct. 11 trends: Name-calling and disenfranchisement[…]

Oct. 8 trends: #GOTV and Kavanaugh as a symbol

LAST 24 HOURS IN A NUTSHELL: Top House hashtags: #gotv #florida #redwave Top Senate hashtags: #keeptexasred #choosecruz #maga Interesting climbers #TeamUnderwood (15th place House): With an unusual endorsement by the Chicago Sun Times, Illinois 14 Democrat Lauren Underwood is gaining momentum against GOP incumbent Randy Hultgren. #kavanaugh (10th place Senate), #JusticeKavanaugh (11th place Senate): The justice who Read more about Oct. 8 trends: #GOTV and Kavanaugh as a symbol[…]

Anti-Heitkamp tweet surge following Kavanaugh vote wasn’t her constituents

SUMMARY: In the two days after Democratic Sen. Heidi Heitkamp courageously voted against the confirmation of Brett Kavanaugh, she was subject to a surge of condemnation on Twitter. We examined the accounts retweeting her Republican rival’s most popular anti-Heitkamp Tweet, and found that nearly 75% are very likely to have come from out of district Read more about Anti-Heitkamp tweet surge following Kavanaugh vote wasn’t her constituents[…]

Oct. 5 trends: Campaign-finance reform and early-vote GOTV

LAST 24 HOURS IN A NUTSHELL: Top House hashtags: #votefitzout #gotv #takeitback Top Senate hashtags: #choosecruz #keeptexasred #mtpol Interesting climbers #reformfirst (12th place House): A tag referring to a call by more than 100 Democratic House candidates for campaign-finance reform, spotlighting the corrosive effect of large donations and special-interest money. Particularly strong in a handful Read more about Oct. 5 trends: Campaign-finance reform and early-vote GOTV[…]

Oct. 4 trends: Dirty ads and protest politics

LAST 24 HOURS IN A NUTSHELL: Top House hashtags: #takeitback #waelex #countryoverparty Top Senate hashtags: #choosecruz #letsflymi #keeptexasred Interesting climbers: #mi03, #ny21: Two districts that we haven’t tracked up to this point. Cook’s Political Report has just shifted them from the “solid Republican” to the “likely Republican” category (which means we’ll put them on our Read more about Oct. 4 trends: Dirty ads and protest politics[…]

Oct. 1 trends: Weekend rallies and doorbell-ringing

LAST 24 HOURS IN A NUTSHELL: Top House hashtags: #sundaymorning #amjoy #codt Top Senate hashtags: #keeptexasred #mtpol #choosecruz   Interesting climbers: #makegeorgiablue (12th place House): A series of retweets on behalf of Democrat Carolyn Bourdeaux in Georgia 07, who would be the first woman to represent the district. #kavanaugh (11th place House): While the bulk of these Read more about Oct. 1 trends: Weekend rallies and doorbell-ringing[…]

Sept. 30 trends: Fossil fools and magatalk

LAST 24 HOURS IN A NUTSHELL: Top House hashtags: #nhpolitics #climatechange #bluewave Top Senate hashtags: #keeptexasred #choosecruz #maga INTERESTING CLIMBERS #teammorse (16th place House): A strong showing for Democrat Jessica Morse in California 04, running against incumbent Tom McClintock. A key issue here: Morse is a strong backer of Christine Blasey Ford, whose allegations McClintock Read more about Sept. 30 trends: Fossil fools and magatalk[…]